Weekly Economic Report 8.15.25
- its029
- 7 days ago
- 1 min read
There was a lot of data released this week: CPI, not good; PPI, very bad; import prices, a tad high; retail sales, strong due to revisions; industrial production, soft (who cares); and another look at unemployment via the continuing claims data, flat for ten weeks. However, in the current context the most important was the tariff revenue collections for July – which came in at $29.6 billion, $20.9 billion more than in July 2024. The June figure was $20.4 billion above its year ago comparison. That seems to confirm the widespread estimate that tariffs will raise about $250 billion more each year ($2.5 trillion in ten years according to CBO, $2.7 trillion says the Budget Lab at Yale). Secretary Bessent forecast $300 billion for the year, but said he may have to revise that up (he did get a late start).